Driven by economic development, ideational changes and family planning
policies, the Chinese family has experienced significant change over the
past several decades. Based on data from the 2018 wave of the China
Family Panel Studies, this study analyzes China’s younger generations’
union formation and childbearing behaviors. The results show that
although the average age of entry into a first marriage continues to
rise, young people generally express a desire to enter into marriage and
value the creation of a family. As premarital cohabitation became more
prevalent, its determinants change from the “second demographic
transition” model to the “pattern of disadvantage” model. The
differences between cohabitors and non-cohabitors in premarital
conception, premarital childbirth and divorce diminished in the recent
cohorts. The findings suggest that the age of childbearing for Chinese
women remains relatively early. The implementation of the “universal
two-child policy” in 2015 has also encouraged younger women’s
childbearing. Among those born in the 1980s, almost half have already
given birth to a second child. The ideal number of children has declined
across birth cohorts in China, especially for individuals with a higher
educational level and urban hukou. In summary, changes in union
formation and childbearing among Chinese youth imply that China will be
facing a further rise in the first marriage age and a further decline in
the fertility rate. However, voluntary singlehood will remain rare, and
Chinese youth still value the importance of marriage and childbearing.